http://www.vukutu.com/blog/2008/10/perceptions-and-counter-perceptions/ away beyond many a far meridian Sat, 20 Feb 2010 05:56:36 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 http://www.vukutu.com/blog/2008/10/perceptions-and-counter-perceptions/comment-page-1/#comment-451 Epistemic modal logic at the CIA at Vukutu Wed, 01 Jul 2009 19:47:14 +0000 http://www.vukutu.com/blog/?p=93#comment-451 [...] Whether or not Nosenko was a genuine defector, and whether or not CIA leadership believed him to be a genuine defector, CIA would also need to concern itself with what impact a revelation of their beliefs would have on KGB, as I have argued before, and thus on what proposition to seek to have KGB believe about CIA’s beliefs in the matter.   If CIA were seen by KGB to accept Nosenko’s testimony (inconsistent and incomplete, by his own admission) too quickly, KGB may not accept as genuine any CIA profession of belief in his bona fides.  So, some delay and equivocation in decision-making was called for.  If CIA professed to believe that Nosenko was a plant or allowed KGB to conclude that CIA believed Nosenko to be a plant, then CIA risked signalling to KGB that they (CIA) were also rejecting all the testimony he arrived in the west with, which included detailed protestations of KGB non-involvement in the assassination of President John F. Kennedy.    Whether or not CIA believed that KGB were involved in that assassination, they may or may not have wished to let KGB know what they believed, at least at that particular moment.  In any case, perhaps a clever (and cunning) CIA would seek to have KGB believe that Nosenko was believed, in order to see how the game played itself out. [...] [...] Whether or not Nosenko was a genuine defector, and whether or not CIA leadership believed him to be a genuine defector, CIA would also need to concern itself with what impact a revelation of their beliefs would have on KGB, as I have argued before, and thus on what proposition to seek to have KGB believe about CIA’s beliefs in the matter.   If CIA were seen by KGB to accept Nosenko’s testimony (inconsistent and incomplete, by his own admission) too quickly, KGB may not accept as genuine any CIA profession of belief in his bona fides.  So, some delay and equivocation in decision-making was called for.  If CIA professed to believe that Nosenko was a plant or allowed KGB to conclude that CIA believed Nosenko to be a plant, then CIA risked signalling to KGB that they (CIA) were also rejecting all the testimony he arrived in the west with, which included detailed protestations of KGB non-involvement in the assassination of President John F. Kennedy.    Whether or not CIA believed that KGB were involved in that assassination, they may or may not have wished to let KGB know what they believed, at least at that particular moment.  In any case, perhaps a clever (and cunning) CIA would seek to have KGB believe that Nosenko was believed, in order to see how the game played itself out. [...]

]]> http://www.vukutu.com/blog/2008/10/perceptions-and-counter-perceptions/comment-page-1/#comment-102 Hearing is (not necessarily) believing at Vukutu Sat, 06 Dec 2008 18:17:01 +0000 http://www.vukutu.com/blog/?p=93#comment-102 [...] Well, one place is in Intelligence.   Tennent H. Bagley, in his very thorough book on the Nosenko affair, for example, discusses the ructions in CIA caused by doubts about the veracity of the supposed KGB [...] [...] Well, one place is in Intelligence.   Tennent H. Bagley, in his very thorough book on the Nosenko affair, for example, discusses the ructions in CIA caused by doubts about the veracity of the supposed KGB [...]

]]> http://www.vukutu.com/blog/2008/10/perceptions-and-counter-perceptions/comment-page-1/#comment-91 Knowing and understanding The Other at Vukutu Sun, 30 Nov 2008 14:01:22 +0000 http://www.vukutu.com/blog/?p=93#comment-91 [...] have previously defined marketing as the organized creation and management of perceptions, which I am sure is not [...] [...] have previously defined marketing as the organized creation and management of perceptions, which I am sure is not [...]

]]> http://www.vukutu.com/blog/2008/10/perceptions-and-counter-perceptions/comment-page-1/#comment-56 Friday Poem: Song at Vukutu Fri, 24 Oct 2008 22:53:57 +0000 http://www.vukutu.com/blog/?p=93#comment-56 [...] Blog « Perceptions and counter-perceptions [...] [...] Blog « Perceptions and counter-perceptions [...]

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